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IPL 2026 Playoff: Gujarat’s seat confirmed, Delhi’s hopes 1%, know the complete mathematics of qualification of other teams

Samira Vishwas | May 13, 2026 4:24 PM CST

IPL 2026 has reached its most exciting point. As of May 12, 56 matches have ended and now only 14 league matches are left. The victory of Gujarat Titans (GT) over Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH) has completely changed the equations of the points table. While two teams have been completely eliminated, the remaining eight teams are in a ‘do or die’ situation. Let us know what is the percentage chance of which team reaching the playoffs in the current situation.

Gujarat Titans: Entered the playoffs, now eyeing top-2

Gujarat Titans is currently in the strongest position in the points table. With 16 points, GT’s chances of reaching the playoffs have become 99.6%. The team still has two more matches left. Interestingly, Gujarat’s chances of finishing in the top-2 have also reached 84.5%, which may give them two chances to reach the finals.

Tough competition between RCB and Hyderabad

Royal Challengers Bangalore (RCB): Second-placed RCB’s chances of playoff qualification are 88.1%. His chances of being in the top-2 are 59%.
Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH): Hyderabad has suffered a big blow after the defeat from Gujarat. Their playoff chances have dropped from 80% to 76.8%. Whereas in the race for top-2, he has been reduced to 35.5%.

Punjab, Chennai and Rajasthan: Middle order battle

The real battle is between these three teams stuck in the middle of the points table:

Punjab Kings: 64.5% chance (top-4), 28.8% chance (top-2)
Chennai Super Kings: 53.9% chance (top-4), 22% chance (top-2)
Rajasthan Royals: 53.8% chance (top-4), 18.2% chance (top-2)

There is a point difference between CSK and Rajasthan, which could swing either way in the upcoming matches.

Who is out and whose ‘faint’ hope is left?

Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR) are still hoping for a miracle with a 12.8% chance. At the same time, the road is almost closed for Delhi Capitals (DC); They have only 1% chance left to make it to the top-4. Mumbai Indians (MI) and Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) have officially become the first two teams to be eliminated from the playoff race.