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Election Results 2026: Who Has The Edge Across 5 States? Phalodi Satta Bazar Drops Big Predictions
Deepika Bhatt | May 4, 2026 10:11 AM CST

With Assembly elections concluded in five states, all eyes are now on the vote counting scheduled for today. Alongside exit polls by news channels, the Phalodi betting market has also released its projections for West Bengal, Assam, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Puducherry, with wagers worth crores reportedly placed.

In West Bengal, which has 294 seats and a majority mark of 148, the market suggests a tight contest, projecting 150–156 seats for the BJP and 137–140 seats for the TMC.

In Assam’s 126-seat Assembly (majority: 64), the BJP-led alliance is expected to secure 91–101 seats, while the Congress alliance may get 21–31 seats and others 0–3.

In Kerala (140 seats, majority: 71), the UDF is projected to win 78–90 seats, the LDF 49–62, and the BJP-led alliance 0–3.

In Tamil Nadu (234 seats, majority: 118), the DMK alliance is estimated to win 125–145 seats, the AIADMK alliance 65–85, TVK 16–26, and others 1–6.

In the Union Territory of Puducherry (30 seats, majority: 16), the BJP alliance is projected to lead with 16–20 seats, followed by the Congress alliance with 6–8 seats and others with 3–7.

Those associated with the betting market say that projections continue to fluctuate until the last moment, and changes in estimates are possible even till midnight before the counting day.


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