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The 2027 Oscars is about a year away, but that hasn’t stopped movie buffs from making way-too-early predictions on which movies and actors will win. We’re not even halfway through 2026 yet. That said, many films have already received early award season buzz, be it from showing off impressive trailers, getting nominations for the prestigious Palme d’Or, or having a list of notable directors and actors who have won Oscars in the past. From these hints, many have already put their money on who they think will be nominated for the 99th Academy Awards, which is slated to arrive on March 14, 2027 on ABC and Hulu.

Early predictions for 2027 Oscar nominations

The following are the odds for which films and actors will be 2027 Oscar nominees, as based on bets from the prediction market Kalshi (as of April 20).

Given how early these predictions are, these are very much subject to change, but the percentages below do provide a snapshot on which films, actors, and directors that people already have theirs sights on. Some of these movies might even be delayed to 2027, in which case they will miss the qualification window for the 2027 Oscars.

For the sake of brevity, we have only included entries below that have received above 20% in odds. There are also no bets on Kalshi for multiple Academy Award categories, specifically Best Costume Design, Best Documentary Short, Best Production Design, Best Film Editing, Best Sound, Best Original Song, Best Live Action Short, and Best Animated Short.

Best Picture

• The Odyssey – 89%
• Dune: Part Three – 79%
• Project Hail Mary – 71%
• Digger – 65%
• Wild Horse Nine – 60%
• Disclosure Day – 47%
• The Adventures of Cliff Booth – 45%
• 1949 / Fatherland – 44%
• The Social Reckoning – 43%
• Fjord – 40%
• Josephine – 36%
• Narnia: The Magician’s Nephew – 32%
• Parallel Tales – 31%
• All of a Sudden – 30%
• Behemoth – 29%
• Werwulf – 28%
• Cry to Heaven – 25%
• Sense and Sensibility – 21%
• Jack of Spades – 20%

Best Director

• Christopher Nolan (The Odyssey) – 82%
• Martin McDonagh (Wild Horse Nine) – 56%
• David Fincher (The Adventures of Cliff Booth) – 38%
• Pawel Pawlikowski (1949 / Fatherland) – 34%
• Phil Lord (Project Hail Mary) – 32%
• Na Hong-jin (Hope) – 31%
• Christopher Miller (Project Hail Mary) – 30% [Separate Entry]
• Joel Coen (Jack of Spades) – 30%
• Steven Spielberg (Disclosure Day) – 20%
• Andrew Haigh (A Long Winter) – 20%

Best Actress

• Sandra Hülser (Rose) – 54%
• Renate Reinsve (Fjord) – 51%
• Mikey Madison (The Social Reckoning) – 32%
• Cynthia Erivo (First Face) – 25%
• Julianne Moore (The Room Next Door) – 24%
• Scarlett Johansson (Paper Tiger) – 24%
• Joan Collins (The Duchess and I) – 20%
• Lily Gladstone (Lone Wolf) – 20%
• Natalie Portman (Photograph 51) – 20%
• Penélope Cruz (The Invite) – 20%

Best Actor

• John Malkovich (Wild Horse Nine) – 72%
• Matt Damon (The Odyssey) – 55%
• Tom Cruise (Digger) – 52%
• Sebastian Stan (Fjord) – 51%
• Ryan Gosling (Project Hail Mary) – 50%
• Jaafar Jackson (Michael) – 33%
• Timothée Chalamet (Dune: Part Three) – 32%
• Jeremy Strong (The Social Reckoning) – 27%
• Josh O’Connor (Jack of Spades) – 24%
• Sam Rockwell (Wild Horse Nine) – 24%
• Andrew Scott (Pressure) – 22%

Best Supporting Actress

• Sandra Hüller (Digger) – 48%
• Anne Hathaway (Verity) – 42%
• Mariana di Girolamo (Wild Horse Nine) – 20%
• Betty Gilpin (The Social Reckoning) – 20%
• Danielle Deadwyler (Average Height, Average Build) – 20%
• Isabella Rossellini (The Duchess and I) – 20%
• Margaret Qualley (The Dog Stars) – 20%

Best Supporting Actor

• John Goodman (Digger) – 55%
• Colman Domingo (Michael) – 52%
• Jeremy Strong (The Social Reckoning) – 40%
• Sam Rockwell (Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die) – 39%
• Steve Buscemi (Wild Horse Nine) – 38%
• Paul Giamatti (The Statement) – 34%
• Tom Holland (The Odyssey) – 34%
• Jesse Plemons (Digger) – 25%
• Channing Tatum (Josephine) – 20%
• Charles Melton (Saturn Return) – 20%

Best Original Screenplay

• Digger (Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Alexander Dinelaris, Nicolás Giacobone, Sabina Berman) – 63%
• Wild Horse Nine (Martin McDonagh) – 61%
• Fjord (Cristian Mongio) – 38%
• Josephine (Beth de Araújo) – 24%
• Forgotten Island (Joel Crawford, Januel Mercado) – 16%

Best Adapted Screenplay

• Project Hail Mary (Drew Goddard) – 69%
• The Odyssey (Christopher Nolan) – 60%
• The Social Reckoning (Aaron Sorkin) – 44%
• Dune: Part Three (Jon Spaihts, Denis Villeneuve) – 43%
• Saturn Return (Clint Bentley, Gaelyn Golde, Greg Kwedar) – 34%
• Wildwood (Chris Butler) – 27%
• Clarissa (Chuko Esiri) – 25%

Best Animated Film

• Hoppers – 85%
• Wildwood – 79%
• Toy Story 5 – 77%
• Forgotten Island – 69%
• Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom – 56%
• Ray Gunn – 32%

Best International Feature Film

• 1949 / Fatherland – 74%
• All of a Sudden – 65%
• Fjord – 43%
• Parallel Tales – 43%
• Minotaur – 40%
• The Beloved – 30%
• Hope – 30%
• The Man I Love – 25%
• Bitter Christmas – 24%
• Coward – 23%

Best Original Score

• The Odyssey (Ludwig Göransson) – 70%
• Dune: Part Three (Hans Zimmer) – 55%
• Disclosure Day (John Williams) – 47%
• Wild Horse Nine (Carter Burwell) – 44%
• The Adventures of Cliff Booth (Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross) – 24%

Best Casting

• The Odyssey (John Papsidera) – 57%
• Wild Horse Nine (Sarah Halley Finn, Jacqueline Gallagher) – 40%
• Clarissa (Nina Gold) – 30%
• Dune: Part Three (Francine Maisler) – 28%
• Being Heumann (Adam Caldwell, Bernard Telsey) – 26%
• Saturn Return (Kim Ostroy) – 24%
• Michael (Victoria Thomas) – 20%

Best Cinematography

• The Odyssey (Hoyte van Hoytema) – 90%
• The Adventures of Cliff Booth (Erik Messerschmidty) – 88%
• Dune: Part Three (Linus Sandgren) – 74%
• Digger (Emmanuel Lubezki) – 58%
• 1949 / Fatherland (Pawel Pawlikowski) – 40%
• Project Hail Mary (Phil Lord, Chris Miller) – 29%

Best Documentary

• One in a Million – 39%
• Nuisance Bear – 38%
• Musk – 25%
• Tutu – 25%
• Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Part – 24%

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

• Digger – 82%
• Dune: Part Three – 55%
• Michael – 31%
• The Social Reckoning – 16%
• Clayface – 11%

Best Visual Effects

• Dune: Part Three – 86%
• Project Hail Mary – 76%
• Godzilla Minus Zero – 71%
• Spider-Man: Brand New Day – 46%
• Avengers: Doomsday – 36%