The biggest news of this time is coming out from the politics of Uttar Pradesh. The upcoming assembly elections in UP can be held about 3 months before its scheduled time. Changing political developments from Delhi to Lucknow and some major administrative reasons are clearly pointing towards this.
If we look at the recent developments, an important meeting of INDIA Block was held in New Delhi on June 8, in which 25 political parties participated. UP SP chief Akhilesh Yadav also became a part of this meeting. After the meeting, Congress President Mallikarjun Kharge said that he will write a letter to the CJI regarding the fairness of the elections. Earlier on June 5, there was a meeting of prominent Dalit and extremely backward class leaders of UP with Rahul Gandhi, which is being seen as an attempt to further strengthen the ‘PDA’ formula of SP before the assembly elections.
On the other hand, on June 4 in Lucknow, BJP’s Organization General Secretary Dharampal Singh, in the presence of presidents of 98 organizational districts, clearly said that in the UP Assembly elections, we will adopt the West Bengal election model and rapidly appoint 1.76 lakh booth keepers. All these signs indicate that the election bugle in UP may sound earlier than expected.
Lucknow bureaucracy revealed the real reason for premature elections
If sources to Lucknow’s bureaucracy are to be believed, the national census is being considered as the biggest reason for holding premature elections. Actually, elections in UP are proposed in February 2027, but the second phase of census is also starting in the country in the same month. Along with this, board exams are also to be held in February-March. In such a situation, there will be a huge shortage of government employees.
For this reason, there is a possibility that elections may be held in the end of December 2026 or the early weeks of January 2027. On this matter, Election Commission officials say that if the Commission takes the decision of early elections, then the final voter list which usually comes in mid-January, will be published only by November this time. At the same time, SP and BSP leaders allege that BJP has already sensed the impact of the coming economic recession, hence wants to hold elections early.
3 biggest reasons for holding elections ahead of schedule
1. Same staff and two big duties
The first phase of census is going on in the country, which will continue till September 30. Its second phase is to be held between 9 to 28 February, in which socio-economic and caste information of the people will be collected. In UP, 5.25 lakh teachers and more than 600 SDM/DM are on duty for this. On the other hand, the number of booths in UP has increased to 1.77 lakh, for which more than 7 lakh employees are required for election duty. Officials say that the same staff that is conducting the census also conducts the elections. If both work together then the entire system will come to a standstill.
2. Big clash of board exams
Board examinations of UP, CBSE and ICSE are also held in the month of February-March. In this, lakhs of teachers remain busy in conducting examinations and checking copies. Even in the year 2022, board examinations were conducted only after the completion of the assembly elections.
3. Changing environment due to economic recession and inflation
Prime Minister Narendra Modi and opposition leader Rahul Gandhi have also expressed concern about the economic crisis and inflation in the coming days. The impact of recession and inflation can be directly visible on the public in the last quarter of the financial year (January-March). In such a situation, BJP will not want to take any such risk that the people’s anger may not weigh heavily on the ruling party.
UP parties came into ‘election mode’ as soon as election news was received
All the political parties of UP have intensified their preparations. If we talk about 2022 elections, BSP had already decided its coordinators and in-charges and released the first list on January 15. After the implementation of the code of conduct, SP had made its first list public on January 13 and BJP had made its first list public on January 15. This time too the parties have gathered with full force:
- BJP’s strategy: BJP has immediately sent its in-charge ministers to the districts so that its hold on the ground can be strengthened.
- SP’s mega plan: Samajwadi Party has internally decided about 200 candidates and this time there is preparation to announce the names ahead of time.
- Preparations of Subhaspa and BSP: Om Prakash Rajbhar’s SubhaSP has posted in-charges on 44 seats, who will be candidates in the elections. At the same time, BSP chief Mayawati has also finalized the names of in-charges for about 50 seats, out of which 5 names have also been made public.
Who will benefit from early elections? Experts’ opinion
Senior journalist Yogesh Mishra believes that the government does not want to give the opposition a chance to prepare. Holding the second phase of census at the time of elections is a clear indication that the government wants early elections. Due to sudden elections, opposition parties will not get enough time to make strategies. Apart from this, it would be safe for the government to hold elections before the ground effects of recession are visible.
Senior journalist Virendranath Bhatt says that it is impossible for the administrative machinery to conduct census and elections simultaneously. As far as inflation is concerned, it is due to the Iran-America war. However, it definitely has an impact on elections, hence the government can conduct elections earlier to avoid its impact. Now it remains to be seen how much SP is able to capitalize on this situation in its favor.
Bhaskar Exclusive: Health of 4 UP MPs deteriorated in Leh-Ladakh, admitted to AIIMS
The health of 4 MPs from UP suddenly deteriorated during the Leh-Ladakh tour. Due to the extreme altitude in the mountains, there was a shortage of oxygen, due to which the MPs had to face severe breathing problems. The situation became so serious that an MP had to be immediately admitted to Delhi AIIMS after vomiting blood from the nose and mouth. At the same time, other MPs had to be kept on continuous oxygen support from the car to the hotel.
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