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Heatwaves in India could rise 400% by century-end, putting health and jobs at risk
ET Bureau | May 24, 2026 5:38 AM CST

India’s average temperature has risen by just 0.7 degrees Celsius over the last century — but it tells a much bigger story. Scientific projections suggest that the frequency of summer heatwaves across India could rise by a staggering 300 to 400% by the end of the century. More troubling still is the rise in warm nights, projected to outpace the increase in warm days.

Without adequate protection, heat-related illnesses — from rashes and cramps to life-threatening heatstrokes — are likely to become increasingly common.

The economic cost is equally alarming. According to a 2024 study published in The Lancet, the annual labour hours lost in India due to heat exposure are now 124% higher than during 1990 to 1999, with agriculture accounting for nearly 66% of the losses.


Reduced labour capacity during heatwaves leads to an annual income loss of nearly $194 billion. Clearly, the heat is on.


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( Originally published on May 23, 2026 )


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