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Conditions favourable for onset of southwest monsoon over South Bay of Bengal, Andaman: IMD
ET Bureau | May 12, 2026 9:38 PM CST

Synopsis

The southwest monsoon is set to arrive over the Bay of Bengal and Andaman Islands by the week's end. This marks a timely start to India's crucial rainfall season. However, the India Meteorological Department forecasts below-average rainfall for the country. The monsoon's arrival is vital for agriculture, impacting crops like paddy, pulses and oilseeds.

India receives 75-80% rainfall during the four-month long rainfall season.


New Delhi: The southwest monsoon could make an onset over parts of Bay of Bengal, Andaman Sea and Andaman & Nicobar Islands towards the end of this week, said the India Meteorological Department (IMD), signalling a timely arrival of India’s monsoon season.

Monsoon first reaches Andaman near the third week of May, after which it advances towards the mainland. The official date for monsoon onset over Kerala, which marks its arrival over the mainland, is June 1.

India is expected to receive below-average monsoon rainfall with the weather office forecasting monsoon rainfall to be ‘below normal’ at 92% of the long period average (LPA).


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“Conditions are becoming favourable for onset of southwest monsoon likely over parts of south Bay of Bengal, Andaman Sea and Andaman & Nicobar Islands towards the end of this week,” it said in a statement on Tuesday.

The low-pressure area over Southwest Bay of Bengal lay over the same region May 12, with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 4.5 km above mean sea level, the weather office said, adding that it is likely to become more marked during the next 48 hours.

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The southwest monsoon is likely to arrive over the Andaman & Nicobar Islands around May 20, the IMD had said earlier.

India receives 75-80% rainfall during the four-month long rainfall season is crucial as planting and yield of major crops such as paddy, pulses and oilseeds depend on its timely arrival and distribution of rainfall during the June-September period .


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