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Fear of recession in the world, yet India is number 1! GDP growth is estimated to be 6.4%, what did UN predict on India?
Samira Vishwas | April 21, 2026 11:24 PM CST

UN Economy Report 2026: Amidst the ongoing Iran war and energy crisis across the world, the United Nations has released a positive report on the Indian economy. According to the latest report of UN body ESCAP, India’s GDP growth rate is estimated to be 6.4% in the current financial year. With this, India will remain the fastest growing large economy in the world. The report also says that India’s economic growth rate may increase to 6.6% in the next financial year 2027.

According to a recent report by the United Nations (UN), India will remain the world’s fastest growing major economy in the coming years. However, due to some international challenges, there is a possibility of a slight decrease in its growth rate.

growth rate estimate

  • 2025: India grows at an impressive 7.4%, the fastest in the region.
  • 2026: The growth rate is estimated to decline to 6.4%.
  • 2027: It is expected to increase again to 6.6%.

What was the reason for the rapid growth in 2025?

There were three main reasons behind India’s strong position last year. Shopping increased in villages, due to good monsoon and government schemes, people spent heavily in rural areas. After GST cut, demand for goods increased in the market due to reduction in taxes. To avoid the heavy tariffs imposed by America in August 2025, Indian companies had already sent a lot of goods there.

Why is the growth rate decreasing?

According to the report, these are the main reasons behind the pace slowing down in 2026-

  • US tax impact: America has imposed 50% tax on Indian goods, which has had a negative impact on India’s exports.
  • Reduction in foreign investment: Due to tensions all over the world, foreign investment (FDI) in Asian countries is decreasing.
  • Iran War: Oil prices may rise due to the Iran war starting in February 2026, which will increase India’s expenditure and put pressure on the rupee.
  • Dearness: Inflation in India is estimated to be around 4.4%, which is a matter of concern for the Reserve Bank.

India number 1 in investment

Even though foreign investment in Asia has declined, India is still a good source of ‘greenfield investment’. Is at the forefront in terms of (money received for starting new projects). India gets investment of $50 billion by the beginning of 2025. This is much more than countries like Australia, South Korea and Kazakhstan. Huge investments are being made in India in sectors like solar power, wind energy and data centers.

Concern over remittance tax

India is the world’s largest recipient of ‘remittances’ (Money sent home by Indians working abroad) is the receiving country. Indians had sent $137 billion home in 2024.
But now the danger is that America has imposed 1% tax on this money from January 2026. About 40% of the remittances sent to India are spent on medical care and essential items. This can have a direct impact on families in states like Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh and Bihar.


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