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Terming the recent ceasefire between the US and Iran as “fragile” during an event, he said that the agreement is currently only in the initial stage and its sustainability remains uncertain.

He said, “This ceasefire is only 8 to 12 hours old, so it will be called fragile.” This ceasefire came after the US gave an ultimatum to Iran, which stipulated opening of major sea routes and stopping activities affecting global trade. Vance said that on the instructions of President Donald Trump, negotiators had made it clear that a ceasefire would be implemented in exchange for opening the straits.

Under the deal, Iran agreed to reopen strategic waterways, while the US and its allies halted military attacks. “Iran has agreed to open the waterway and the United States has halted attacks,” Vance said.

He also claimed that the US had already achieved its military objectives before the ceasefire. “The president’s goal was to weaken Iran’s military capability, and that objective has been accomplished,” he said.

However, Vance warned that divisions within Iran’s leadership are complicating the deal. According to him, some Iranian leaders are positive about the deal, while others are making “misinformation” about its form and outcomes.

He said that this contradiction makes the ceasefire unstable and if it is not handled carefully, it could break down at any time.

Vance said that President Trump has instructed his team to negotiate honestly, but has also made it clear that patience is limited. “If Iran negotiates in a positive manner, a comprehensive agreement is possible,” he said.

He also warned that if talks fail, the US has strong options such as “military, diplomatic and extraordinary economic pressure”.

At present, this ceasefire is being seen as a limited diplomatic opportunity amid rising tensions. Vance said the future course would depend entirely on what stance Iran takes in the talks.

He concluded, “Ultimately it is up to Iran how they negotiate. Hopefully they will take the right decision.”